Analysis of the 2008 Recession

You really have to get into this insightful analysis of recession. I think you’ll find that it is a very awesome addition to the collective wisdom. The question is no longer whether recession is coming in 2008, but rather how long and severe it will be. The truth is that recessions are a naturally occurring and necessary part of capitalist economies.

Hidden Advantage of a Recession

Our a $14 trillion economy has enjoyed job growth and business expansion for 51 months. However is still subject to the ups and downs of the business cycle. While politicians want to avoid it during an election year, it is unavoidable.

The creative destruction of a recession enables purging of economic excesses in favor of new ideas. So whether it entails dealing with excess real estate inventory, restoring accountability in the credit markets, pushing energy independence policies, reforming government entitlement programs, encouraging personal savings or restoring faith in the U.S. dollar, the business cycle must and will prevail.

Big Recession Concerns

I strongly agree with this important train of economic thought. Perhaps I may be up to speed on this but there are those who aren’t. As best as I can tell I, what they refuse to believe is that a recession could occur during an election year. It is stunning to see how a person can’t relate to a incredibly complex realm like recession during an election year.

The bigger concern should be with the Federal Reserve actions that will cause inadvertent re-inflation of the markets. This is being done through continued monetary expansion and interest rate reductions that are being used to insure that the good times keep going. The asset bubble that this policy causes have moved from the surging equities markets of the late ’90s to the speculative excesses of today’s real-estate boom. Unfortunately, now that the underlying mortgages on these inflated assets are failing, the huge credit derivatives market is also failing as well.

More About recession

I may be off target, but you don’t ever want to forget this idea. Don’t let this get in your way: Recessions are part of the natural business cycle.

I thought that was the last idea, but hear me out. I cannot ignore this: By just understanding that fact you can both protect yourself against recession and appear to be a genius when it comes to recession.

This entry was posted on Monday, February 11th, 2008 at 10:44 am and is filed under Recession. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.

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